Signal Accuracy

Data source: Reads directly from the Magnets page log (browser localStorage). Each SIGNAL_FIRED event becomes a prediction. Resolution is checked against Yahoo Finance 1-minute bars — did price reach the target strike within 5 / 15 / 30 / 60 minutes? Breakdowns by scenario (bearish/bullish/neutral), conviction level at fire time, and momentum status of the top strike when the signal fired. Hit tolerance: ±$0.50.

Date: —

Overall hit rate

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any window

Direction correct

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30m price move

Bearish signals

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Bullish signals

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Neutral signals

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Total signals

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Hit rate by scenario

Hit rate by time window

5m—

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15m—

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30m—

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60m—

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Hit rate by momentum status at signal fire

Building—

GEX growing when signal fired

Unwinding—

GEX shrinking when signal fired

Stable—

GEX unchanged when signal fired

Signal detail — resolved via Yahoo 1m bars

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